UL Monroe Warhawks
UL Monroe is No. 136 of 138 in the model after week 6 (0-5, 0-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 1.6-10.4, with a 0% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #136in the model (▲1 from last week)
- 1.6-10.4projected final record
- −20.8points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: UL Monroe's best unit is its rush offense (No. 97 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 132). Overall, the offense ranks No. 123 and the defense No. 134, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 5 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 135, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against UL Monroe's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 136) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, UL Monroe would usually have won 0.2 games; it has won 0.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the Sun Belt, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. <1% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 24points per game
- 44.6points allowed per game
- 43%offensive success rate
- 51%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Aidan Armenta, 848 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing: Austin Carlisle, 219 yards on 37 carries, 1 TD
- Receiving: Marcellus Jackson, 26 catches, 234 yards, 0 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at No. 19 Mississippi State | L 13-62 | 2% win |
| 2 | at UAB | L 20-26 | 6% win |
| 3 | vs SE Louisiana | L 35-38 | 3% win |
| 4 | vs Florida Atlantic | L 17-45 | 9% win |
| 5 | at South Alabama | L 35-52 | 0% win |
| 7 | vs Louisiana Tech | 18% to win | |
| 8 | at Troy | 12% to win | |
| 9 | vs Southern Miss | 38% to win | |
| 10 | at Arkansas State | 17% to win | |
| 11 | vs Louisiana | 16% to win | |
| 12 | at App State | 16% to win | |
| 13 | vs Marshall | 40% to win |
Sun Belt in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | James Madison | 6-0 | 3-0 | 10.9-1.1 |
| 58 | Georgia State | 4-1 | 1-0 | 8.5-3.5 |
| 73 | Louisiana | 4-2 | 1-1 | 7.9-4.1 |
| 78 | Georgia Southern | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5.9-6.1 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | 3-2 | 1-0 | 7.3-4.7 |
| 94 | Troy | 3-2 | 1-0 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 97 | South Alabama | 4-2 | 2-0 | 7.4-4.6 |
| 103 | App State | 3-2 | 0-1 | 6.1-5.9 |
| 106 | Arkansas State | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5.0-7.0 |
| 107 | Coastal Carolina | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4.3-7.7 |
| 114 | Old Dominion | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4.3-7.7 |
| 128 | Southern Miss | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3.4-8.6 |
| 129 | Marshall | 3-3 | 0-2 | 5.1-6.9 |
| 136 | UL Monroe | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1.6-10.4 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.