Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana is No. 6 of 138 in the model after week 6 (6-0, 3-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 10.6-1.4, with a 20% chance to win out and a 79% chance to make the playoff. The AP poll has Indiana at No. 5.
2026 at a glance
- #6in the model (▲2 from last week)
- 10.6-1.4projected final record
- +17.6points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 79%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Indiana's best unit is its pass offense (No. 2 in FBS); its weakest is its rush offense (No. 71). Overall, the offense ranks No. 12 and the defense No. 2, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 4, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Indiana's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 6) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Indiana would usually have won 5.5 games; it has won 6.
Postseason odds: 30% to win the Big Ten, 79% to make the 12-team playoff, 27% to earn a first-round bye and 4% to win the national title. 100% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 40.2points per game
- 11.8points allowed per game
- 49%offensive success rate
- 35%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Josh Hoover, 1,364 yards, 17 TD, 0 INT
- Rushing: Turbo Richard, 597 yards on 71 carries, 5 TD
- Receiving: Charlie Becker, 30 catches, 529 yards, 8 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Texas | W 52-16 | 100% win |
| 2 | vs Howard | W 55-0 | 99% win |
| 3 | vs Western Kentucky | W 38-0 | 99% win |
| 4 | vs No. 21 Northwestern | W 29-23 | 73% win |
| 5 | at Rutgers | W 47-15 | 98% win |
| 6 | at No. 13 Nebraska | W 20-17 | 76% win |
| 7 | vs No. 5 Ohio State | 48% to win | |
| 8 | at Michigan | 73% to win | |
| 9 | vs Minnesota | 92% to win | |
| 11 | vs No. 24 USC | 74% to win | |
| 12 | at Washington | 84% to win | |
| 13 | vs Purdue | 85% to win |
Big Ten in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ohio State | 5-1 | 3-0 | 9.2-2.8 |
| 6 | Indiana | 6-0 | 3-0 | 10.6-1.4 |
| 10 | UCLA | 5-0 | 3-0 | 10.6-1.4 |
| 13 | Nebraska | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.9-3.1 |
| 16 | Oregon | 3-2 | 1-1 | 7.5-4.5 |
| 21 | Northwestern | 4-1 | 1-1 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 24 | USC | 6-1 | 3-1 | 8.2-3.8 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | 4-1 | 2-0 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 35 | Iowa | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 38 | Penn State | 3-3 | 0-3 | 7.0-5.0 |
| 41 | Michigan | 3-2 | 0-2 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 48 | Purdue | 3-3 | 2-1 | 5.7-6.3 |
| 62 | Illinois | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4.8-7.2 |
| 70 | Michigan State | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4.1-7.9 |
| 71 | Washington | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.6-7.4 |
| 76 | Maryland | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 77 | Minnesota | 4-2 | 2-1 | 5.3-6.7 |
| 108 | Rutgers | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2.3-9.7 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.