West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia is No. 81 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 0-3 in conference play). Its projected final record is 4.6-7.4, with a 0% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #81in the model (▼10 from last week)
- 4.6-7.4projected final record
- −2.8points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: West Virginia's best unit is its rush offense (No. 18 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 136). Overall, the offense ranks No. 48 and the defense No. 127, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 88, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against West Virginia's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 81) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, West Virginia would usually have won 3.4 games; it has won 3.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the Big 12, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 21% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 36.3points per game
- 32.7points allowed per game
- 43%offensive success rate
- 46%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Michael Hawkins Jr., 1,055 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing: Cam Cook, 793 yards on 153 carries, 7 TD
- Receiving: DJ Epps, 14 catches, 393 yards, 4 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Coastal Carolina | W 31-24 | 89% win |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 52-7 | 99% win |
| 3 | vs Virginia | W 38-27 | 97% win |
| 4 | vs Oklahoma State | L 24-41 | 12% win |
| 5 | at Iowa State | L 42-45 | 38% win |
| 6 | vs No. 20 Arizona | L 31-52 | 0% win |
| 7 | vs Cincinnati | 51% to win | |
| 8 | at TCU | 27% to win | |
| 10 | at No. 11 Texas Tech | 10% to win | |
| 11 | vs Kansas | 47% to win | |
| 12 | vs No. 15 Houston | 21% to win | |
| 13 | at No. 9 Utah | 9% to win |
Big 12 in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Utah | 5-0 | 2-0 | 10.1-1.9 |
| 11 | Texas Tech | 5-0 | 2-0 | 10.3-1.7 |
| 14 | BYU | 5-0 | 3-0 | 9.5-2.5 |
| 15 | Houston | 5-1 | 2-1 | 9.2-2.8 |
| 20 | Arizona | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.7-3.3 |
| 30 | Baylor | 4-1 | 2-0 | 7.6-4.4 |
| 45 | Oklahoma State | 4-1 | 2-0 | 7.6-4.4 |
| 46 | TCU | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5.1-6.9 |
| 47 | UCF | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6.2-5.8 |
| 54 | Iowa State | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5.8-6.2 |
| 56 | Kansas State | 3-2 | 0-2 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 61 | Kansas | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4.8-7.2 |
| 68 | Cincinnati | 4-1 | 1-1 | 6.2-5.8 |
| 81 | West Virginia | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.6-7.4 |
| 85 | Colorado | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4.2-7.8 |
| 90 | Arizona State | 3-2 | 1-1 | 4.9-7.1 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.