South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina is No. 33 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 1-3 in conference play). Its projected final record is 5.9-6.1, with a 2% chance to win out and a 1% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #33in the model (▲16 from last week)
- 5.9-6.1projected final record
- +7.7points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 1%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: South Carolina's best unit is its run defense (No. 12 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 125). Overall, the offense ranks No. 42 and the defense No. 81, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 54, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against South Carolina's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 33) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, South Carolina would usually have won 3.1 games; it has won 3.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the SEC, 1% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 63% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 37.7points per game
- 25.5points allowed per game
- 45%offensive success rate
- 42%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Lanorris Sellers, 1,338 yards, 12 TD, 4 INT
- Rushing: Matthew Fuller, 485 yards on 81 carries, 5 TD
- Receiving: Nyck Harbor, 17 catches, 278 yards, 2 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Kent State | W 57-0 | >99% win |
| 2 | vs Towson | W 45-9 | 99% win |
| 3 | vs No. 19 Mississippi State | L 34-41 | 0% win |
| 4 | at No. 1 Alabama | L 18-49 | 1% win |
| 5 | vs Kentucky | L 34-35 | 18% win |
| 6 | at Florida | W 38-19 | 95% win |
| 8 | vs No. 17 Tennessee | 46% to win | |
| 9 | at Oklahoma | 40% to win | |
| 10 | vs Texas A&M | 56% to win | |
| 11 | at Arkansas | 71% to win | |
| 12 | vs No. 3 Georgia | 23% to win | |
| 13 | at Clemson | 54% to win |
SEC in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 5-1 | 3-1 | 10.2-1.8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6-0 | 4-0 | 10.9-1.1 |
| 7 | Texas | 4-1 | 1-1 | 8.7-3.3 |
| 8 | LSU | 4-2 | 1-2 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 12 | Missouri | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.5-3.5 |
| 17 | Tennessee | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | 4-1 | 2-1 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | 4-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 26 | Oklahoma | 3-2 | 1-1 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 27 | Kentucky | 5-1 | 3-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.7-6.3 |
| 33 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.9-6.1 |
| 37 | Florida | 4-2 | 2-2 | 6.6-5.4 |
| 42 | Auburn | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5.8-6.2 |
| 82 | Vanderbilt | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 88 | Arkansas | 2-4 | 0-3 | 3.3-8.7 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.