Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State is No. 95 of 138 in the model after week 6 (4-2, 2-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 8.2-3.8, with a 12% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #95in the model (▲2 from last week)
- 8.2-3.8projected final record
- −4.8points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Jacksonville State's best unit is its pass offense (No. 41 in FBS); its weakest is its run defense (No. 110). Overall, the offense ranks No. 55 and the defense No. 88, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 7 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 70, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Jacksonville State's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 95) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Jacksonville State would usually have won 3.9 games; it has won 4.
Postseason odds: 22% to win the Conference USA, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 99% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 27.3points per game
- 22.7points allowed per game
- 47%offensive success rate
- 42%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Caden Creel, 1,637 yards, 12 TD, 6 INT
- Rushing: Caden Creel, 500 yards on 105 carries, 4 TD
- Receiving: Deondre Johnson, 22 catches, 431 yards, 3 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota State | L 7-33 | 9% win |
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 49-7 | 99% win |
| 2 | at Ohio | L 27-29 | 69% win |
| 3 | vs Georgia Southern | W 31-27 | 92% win |
| 4 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 23-13 | 78% win |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-26 | 46% win |
| 7 | vs Florida International | W 27-24 | 48% win |
| 9 | at New Mexico State | 57% to win | |
| 10 | vs Sam Houston | 71% to win | |
| 11 | at Western Kentucky | 57% to win | |
| 12 | vs Missouri State | 74% to win | |
| 13 | at Delaware | 58% to win |
Conference USA in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | Liberty | 5-1 | 2-0 | 9.7-2.3 |
| 80 | Florida International | 3-2 | 1-0 | 6.7-5.3 |
| 95 | Jacksonville State | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.2-3.8 |
| 105 | Kennesaw State | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3.9-8.1 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4.6-7.4 |
| 118 | Western Kentucky | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5.1-6.9 |
| 120 | Delaware | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4.6-7.4 |
| 121 | Middle Tennessee | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5.4-6.6 |
| 123 | Sam Houston | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3.6-8.4 |
| 127 | Missouri State | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4.1-7.9 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.