Florida International Panthers

Florida International is No. 80 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-2, 1-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 6.7-5.3, with a 6% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.

Updated · See Florida International in the full rankings

2026 at a glance

  • #80in the model (▲13 from last week)
  • 6.7-5.3projected final record
  • −2.8points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
  • 0%chance to make the playoff

Scouting report: Florida International's best unit is its run defense (No. 43 in FBS); its weakest is its rush offense (No. 136). Overall, the offense ranks No. 138 and the defense No. 47, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.

Résumé: No. 80, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Florida International's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 80) measures how good the team is.

Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Florida International would usually have won 3 games; it has won 3.

Postseason odds: 11% to win the Conference USA, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 85% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)

Rank by week: Wk 1: 74 → Wk 2: 77 → Wk 3: 90 → Wk 4: 98 → Wk 5: 93 → Wk 6: 80
Week 1: No. 74Week 2: No. 77Week 3: No. 90Week 4: No. 98Week 5: No. 93Week 6: No. 80

Rankings for weeks 1-6 were rebuilt after launch from games through each week; later weeks are published live.

Season stats

  • 19.7points per game
  • 14.7points allowed per game
  • 39%offensive success rate
  • 35%success rate allowed

Success rate: share of plays that keep an offense on schedule (half the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth). Garbage time excluded.

Leaders

  • Passing: J.J. Kohl, 1,458 yards, 7 TD, 7 INT
  • Rushing: Devonte Lyons, 268 yards on 65 carries, 1 TD
  • Receiving: Maguire Anderson, 33 catches, 535 yards, 4 TD

Schedule and win odds

WeekOpponentResult or win chancePlayed like
1at South FloridaL 9-19<1% win
2vs BuffaloW 33-20100% win
3at Florida AtlanticL 10-167% win
4vs Long Island UniversityW 20-392% win
6vs New Mexico StateW 22-3100% win
7at Jacksonville StateL 24-2752% win
8vs Middle Tennessee75% to win
9at Liberty29% to win
10vs Missouri State78% to win
11at Delaware62% to win
12at Kennesaw State56% to win
13vs Sam Houston75% to win

Win chances come from the model's current ratings, including home field. Played like: how often a team wins a game it played the way it played this one, based on the box score. Rankings shown are the model's.

Conference USA in the model

#TeamRecordConf.Projected
49Liberty5-12-09.7-2.3
95Jacksonville State4-22-08.2-3.8
105Kennesaw State1-40-13.9-8.1
117New Mexico State2-41-14.6-7.4
118Western Kentucky2-41-15.1-6.9
120Delaware2-30-14.6-7.4
121Middle Tennessee2-30-15.4-6.6
123Sam Houston1-40-13.6-8.4
127Missouri State1-40-14.1-7.9

This week's picks and rankings

Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.

How the model works: each team starts from a preseason rating (last season, returning production, roster talent), and every game moves it using the final margin and play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponents. Projections simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. More on the method. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.