Delaware Blue Hens

Delaware is No. 120 of 138 in the model after week 6 (2-3, 0-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 4.6-7.4, with a 1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.

Updated · See Delaware in the full rankings

2026 at a glance

  • #120in the model (▲2 from last week)
  • 4.6-7.4projected final record
  • −10.5points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
  • 0%chance to make the playoff

Scouting report: Delaware's best unit is its run defense (No. 74 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 128). Overall, the offense ranks No. 94 and the defense No. 113, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.

Résumé: No. 108, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Delaware's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 120) measures how good the team is.

Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Delaware would usually have won 1.2 games; it has won 2.

Postseason odds: <1% to win the Conference USA, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 26% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)

Rank by week: Wk 1: 102 → Wk 2: 86 → Wk 3: 91 → Wk 4: 106 → Wk 5: 122 → Wk 6: 120
Week 1: No. 102Week 2: No. 86Week 3: No. 91Week 4: No. 106Week 5: No. 122Week 6: No. 120

Rankings for weeks 1-6 were rebuilt after launch from games through each week; later weeks are published live.

Season stats

  • 22.8points per game
  • 26.8points allowed per game
  • 40%offensive success rate
  • 43%success rate allowed

Success rate: share of plays that keep an offense on schedule (half the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth). Garbage time excluded.

Leaders

  • Passing: Nick Minicucci, 838 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Rushing: Jo'Nathan Silver, 230 yards on 58 carries, 1 TD
  • Receiving: Sean Wilson, 25 catches, 339 yards, 3 TD

Schedule and win odds

WeekOpponentResult or win chancePlayed like
1vs MerrimackW 42-799% win
2at VanderbiltL 26-355% win
3vs Coastal CarolinaW 22-1417% win
4at VirginiaL 3-422% win
5vs LibertyL 14-300% win
7at Middle TennesseeL 30-3363% win
8vs Missouri State62% to win
9at Western Kentucky43% to win
10at Kennesaw State37% to win
11vs Florida International38% to win
12at New Mexico State43% to win
13vs Jacksonville State42% to win

Win chances come from the model's current ratings, including home field. Played like: how often a team wins a game it played the way it played this one, based on the box score. Rankings shown are the model's.

Conference USA in the model

#TeamRecordConf.Projected
49Liberty5-12-09.7-2.3
80Florida International3-21-06.7-5.3
95Jacksonville State4-22-08.2-3.8
105Kennesaw State1-40-13.9-8.1
117New Mexico State2-41-14.6-7.4
118Western Kentucky2-41-15.1-6.9
121Middle Tennessee2-30-15.4-6.6
123Sam Houston1-40-13.6-8.4
127Missouri State1-40-14.1-7.9

This week's picks and rankings

Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.

How the model works: each team starts from a preseason rating (last season, returning production, roster talent), and every game moves it using the final margin and play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponents. Projections simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. More on the method. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.