UTEP Miners
UTEP is No. 133 of 138 in the model after week 6 (1-5, 0-2 in conference play). Its projected final record is 3.1-8.9, with a <1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #133in the model (– from last week)
- 3.1-8.9projected final record
- −17.1points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: UTEP's best unit is its run defense (No. 87 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 135). Overall, the offense ranks No. 133 and the defense No. 125, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 130, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against UTEP's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 133) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, UTEP would usually have won 1 games; it has won 1.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the Mountain West, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 2% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 15.8points per game
- 39.5points allowed per game
- 31%offensive success rate
- 50%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: EJ Colson, 541 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT
- Rushing: Raymond Moore III, 359 yards on 48 carries, 2 TD
- Receiving: Carver Cheeks, 16 catches, 179 yards, 3 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Oklahoma | L 0-51 | <1% win |
| 2 | vs Texas Southern | W 51-10 | 99% win |
| 3 | at Michigan | L 17-52 | 1% win |
| 4 | vs Oregon State | L 7-33 | 4% win |
| 5 | at New Mexico | L 7-61 | 1% win |
| 6 | vs Nevada | L 13-30 | 0% win |
| 7 | vs San José State | 39% to win | |
| 9 | at North Dakota State | 10% to win | |
| 10 | vs Hawai'i | 51% to win | |
| 11 | vs Wyoming | 50% to win | |
| 12 | at Air Force | 15% to win | |
| 13 | at Northern Illinois | 51% to win |
Mountain West in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | New Mexico | 4-1 | 1-0 | 9.8-2.2 |
| 63 | North Dakota State | 5-1 | 2-1 | 9.4-2.6 |
| 64 | UNLV | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.0-4.0 |
| 83 | Air Force | 4-1 | 2-1 | 7.9-4.1 |
| 111 | Nevada | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4.7-7.3 |
| 116 | San José State | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5.9-7.1 |
| 130 | Wyoming | 3-3 | 2-1 | 5.0-7.0 |
| 132 | Hawai'i | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3.4-8.6 |
| 133 | UTEP | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3.1-8.9 |
| 135 | Northern Illinois | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1.9-10.1 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.