Akron Zips

Akron is No. 134 of 138 in the model after week 6 (1-5, 0-2 in conference play). Its projected final record is 2.4-9.6, with a <1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.

Updated · See Akron in the full rankings

2026 at a glance

  • #134in the model (– from last week)
  • 2.4-9.6projected final record
  • −18.1points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
  • 0%chance to make the playoff

Scouting report: Akron's best unit is its rush offense (No. 83 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 134). Overall, the offense ranks No. 96 and the defense No. 136, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.

Résumé: No. 134, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Akron's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 134) measures how good the team is.

Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Akron would usually have won 1.8 games; it has won 1.

Postseason odds: 0% to win the Mid-American, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 1% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)

Rank by week: Wk 1: 130 → Wk 2: 120 → Wk 3: 128 → Wk 4: 134 → Wk 5: 134 → Wk 6: 134
Week 1: No. 130Week 2: No. 120Week 3: No. 128Week 4: No. 134Week 5: No. 134Week 6: No. 134

Rankings for weeks 1-6 were rebuilt after launch from games through each week; later weeks are published live.

Season stats

  • 19.7points per game
  • 32.2points allowed per game
  • 41%offensive success rate
  • 45%success rate allowed

Success rate: share of plays that keep an offense on schedule (half the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth). Garbage time excluded.

Leaders

  • Passing: Brayden Roggow, 834 yards, 6 TD, 5 INT
  • Rushing: Jordan Gant, 406 yards on 83 carries, 3 TD
  • Receiving: Kyan Mason, 16 catches, 162 yards, 0 TD

Schedule and win odds

WeekOpponentResult or win chancePlayed like
1at No. 22 Wake ForestL 16-381% win
2vs Robert MorrisW 45-1097% win
3at MinnesotaL 7-411% win
4vs UNLVL 10-382% win
5at Central MichiganL 17-413% win
6vs Eastern MichiganL 23-2577% win
7at Miami (OH)17% to win
8at Kent State30% to win
10vs Ohio24% to win
11vs Western Michigan17% to win
12at Massachusetts17% to win
13vs Buffalo39% to win

Win chances come from the model's current ratings, including home field. Played like: how often a team wins a game it played the way it played this one, based on the box score. Rankings shown are the model's.

Mid-American in the model

#TeamRecordConf.Projected
65Western Michigan4-22-08.3-3.7
75Toledo4-21-18.0-4.0
89Ohio4-22-08.1-3.9
98Miami (OH)3-31-16.5-5.5
99Massachusetts4-21-27.4-4.6
115Eastern Michigan4-33-06.0-6.0
119Central Michigan3-31-16.1-5.9
122Buffalo3-31-16.0-6.0
125Bowling Green2-42-04.4-7.6
126Kent State2-41-24.8-7.2
131Ball State1-50-23.5-8.5
138Sacramento State1-50-32.1-9.9

This week's picks and rankings

Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.

How the model works: each team starts from a preseason rating (last season, returning production, roster talent), and every game moves it using the final margin and play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponents. Projections simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. More on the method. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.