Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) is No. 98 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 1-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 6.5-5.5, with a 4% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #98in the model (▼4 from last week)
- 6.5-5.5projected final record
- −5.4points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Miami (OH)'s best unit is its pass offense (No. 20 in FBS); its weakest is its rush offense (No. 104). Overall, the offense ranks No. 49 and the defense No. 101, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 96, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Miami (OH)'s schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 98) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Miami (OH) would usually have won 3.8 games; it has won 3.
Postseason odds: 6% to win the Mid-American, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 79% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 25.7points per game
- 27.5points allowed per game
- 41%offensive success rate
- 43%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: David McComb, 1,120 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing: Rodney Nelson, 206 yards on 55 carries, 0 TD
- Receiving: Maleek Huggins, 17 catches, 309 yards, 1 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Pittsburgh | L 14-59 | 3% win |
| 2 | vs Holy Cross | W 45-7 | 99% win |
| 3 | at Cincinnati | L 31-35 | 40% win |
| 4 | vs UConn | W 24-21 | 93% win |
| 5 | vs Bowling Green | L 20-24 | 63% win |
| 6 | at Massachusetts | W 20-19 | 85% win |
| 7 | vs Akron | 83% to win | |
| 8 | at Central Michigan | 56% to win | |
| 10 | vs Buffalo | 70% to win | |
| 11 | vs Ohio | 53% to win | |
| 12 | at Kent State | 60% to win | |
| 13 | at Western Michigan | 31% to win |
Mid-American in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Western Michigan | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 75 | Toledo | 4-2 | 1-1 | 8.0-4.0 |
| 89 | Ohio | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 98 | Miami (OH) | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.5-5.5 |
| 99 | Massachusetts | 4-2 | 1-2 | 7.4-4.6 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | 4-3 | 3-0 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 119 | Central Michigan | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.1-5.9 |
| 122 | Buffalo | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 125 | Bowling Green | 2-4 | 2-0 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 126 | Kent State | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4.8-7.2 |
| 131 | Ball State | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3.5-8.5 |
| 134 | Akron | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2.4-9.6 |
| 138 | Sacramento State | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2.1-9.9 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.